The Atlantic is churning out storms one right after the other, and this trend may continue for another 2 weeks, but right now all eyes are on Earl… This Major Hurricane will pass uncomfortably close to the East coast as the holiday weekend begins, and while the official forecast calls for the system to remain at sea, even a slight change could put Earl over land. Even if Earl does avoid a US landfall (which is the most likely case), heavy seas and strong winds are going to be felt along the Eastern Seaboard this weekend, putting a damper on any holiday plans that include a visit to coastal areas. I will be unable to provide updates on Earl this weekend, and it is certainly not going to make landfall in Florida, but is a storm that should be closely monitored.
 
Fiona is not expected to become a hurricane and should curve out to sea and fall apart within 4 or 5 days, so no land areas are under any watches or warnings.
 
Gaston on the other hand, is forecast to intensify, and also to follow a track that may well keep the system further south, potentially even allowing entry into the Caribbean. This brings the islands of the Bahamas and Caribbean, along with Florida into the potential path of this storm. Of course it is a long way off and any solid forecasts will not come into play until early next week.
 

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SouthEast Florida should experience seasonal weather for the Holiday, with highs in the 90′s and a 30% chance for mostly afternoon showers or storms each day. This will be the case for most of Florida in fact, but the East Coast, especially as you move North, may also have rough seas and strong currents to contend with thanks to Earl. Enjoy your holiday everyone, I will update on Gaston next week as needed, but again, will not be able to post any additional information on Earl this weekend.
 

Danielle, Earl, 97L starting to form, and string of Tropical Waves all across Africa… Looks like the Atlantic might be churning out Cape Verde Storms for the next few weeks. Danielle may also become the first Major Hurricane of the season, but unless you live in Bermuda, it is unlikely that either storm is going to affect you.
 

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Almost a week of rainy days is taking a toll on Southwest Florida, and the Peace River is experiencing some minor flooding. With any luck though, things should now begin to quiet down… Rain chances are only around 40% for this weekend, and that is about normal in the summer to have a chance of afternoon showers.
 

Well… We could talk about the record heat in Russia, the flooding in Pakistan, or maybe global warming, but there is nothing to talk about in the tropics. Instead, I think I will just say that the seasonal pattern of warm and sunny days with possible afternoon showers will continue for Florida, and that this weekend should be a good one to visit the beach or hit the pool. Take care everyone.

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I did not have a lot of time to research the tropics today, so this will be brief…
 
Colin will not be making landfall in the US, and is not expected to become much stronger than it is now, though a short window for some organization of this system is possible.
 
Another area in the eastern Caribbean bears watching, but it is not likely to develop either.
 
The one to watch may end up being the new invest out in the north Atlantic, which is currently being given a 40% chance to become a cyclone this weekend.
 
I will be watching all of these areas and will post an update if and when one is needed. Until then, enjoy your weekend everyone.

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